Dynatrace, Inc.(DT) 종목 분석 — 적정가치·리스크·해자 평가
NYQ · Technology · Software - Application
Dynatrace, Inc.는 지금 안전한 투자처인가?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 5.11 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $35.60 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 2.6/5 stars.
Dynatrace, Inc.는 파산할 가능성이 있는가? Altman Z-Score 분석
Z-Score of 5.11 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- 1.8 미만 — 위험 구간(파산 리스크 높음)
- 1.8~3.0 — 회색 구간(불확실성 높음)
- 3.0 초과 — 안전 구간(재무 건전)
DT의 Z-Score를 구성하는 요인은?
| 구성 요소 | 산식 | 수치 | 가중치 | 기여도 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.1329 | 1.2 | 0.16 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.0688 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0433 | 3.3 | 0.14 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 7.1752 | 0.6 | 4.31 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.4103 | 1.0 | 0.41 |
DT의 재무 건전성은 어떻게 변화해 왔는가?
| 연도 | Z-Score | 구간 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.54 | 안전 |
| 2023 | 6.02 | 안전 |
| 2024 | 5.27 | 안전 |
| 2025 | 5.11 | 안전 |
출처: DT의 SEC EDGAR 최신 10-K 기반 산출.
Dynatrace, Inc.의 진정한 가치는 얼마인가?
산출 방법
| 입력값 | 수치 | 출처 |
|---|---|---|
| 예상 EPS(α) | $0.89 | 독자 모델: 공시 실적값 (3분기 실적) + 애널리스트 컨센서스(α 가중) |
| 전년도 EPS | $1.59 | 연차보고서(SEC EDGAR) |
| 애널리스트 컨센서스 EPS(금년도) | $1.68 | 33명의 애널리스트 컨센서스 |
| 실적 PER | 60.2x | 현재 시장 프라이싱 |
| 적정 PER(β 디스카운트) | 40.0x | 실적 PER을 가치 디스카운트 계수 β로 조정 후 상한 설정 |
| 실적 트렌드(γ) | 가속 성장 | 방향성 시그널: 예상 EPS와 실적 EPS 비교 |
월가 참고치: 애널리스트 컨센서스 목표주가는 $48.79(33명의 애널리스트). 참고치이며 당사 밸류에이션 모델에는 사용하지 않습니다.
출처: 실적 데이터는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류, 시장 데이터는 Yahoo Finance. 최근 분기가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.
Dynatrace, Inc.는 지속적인 경쟁우위를 보유하고 있는가?
Moat rating: 2.6/5.
DT의 해자 점수를 구성하는 요인은?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
DT의 투하자본수익률은 얼마나 안정적인가?
| 연도 | ROIC | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.1% | — |
| 2023 | 5.8% | Stable |
| 2024 | 6.4% | Stable |
| 2025 | 6.9% | Stable |
출처: ROIC는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류 기반 산출.
Dynatrace, Inc.의 배당은 안전한가?
Dynatrace, Inc.의 주요 재무 지표
| 지표 | 최신 | 1년 전 | 3년 전 | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7B | $1.4B | $0.9B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.5B | $0.2B | $0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.4B | $0.3B | $0.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 81.2% | 81.4% | 81.4% | Stable |
DT의 분석에 영향을 미치는 최근 이벤트
DT 실적 발표 예정
실적 발표 예정. 컨센서스 EPS 예상치: $0.39. 매출 예상치: $521.2M. 당사의 현재 적정가치: $35.60 — 예상치를 크게 상회하거나 하회하면 추정치가 변동될 수 있습니다.
DT 애널리스트 컨센서스: 74% 강세 (26/35명)
5 강력 매수, 21 매수, 9 중립, 0 매도, 0 강력 매도. 컨센서스 목표가: $48.79 (35.0% 상승 여력). 당사 독자 적정가치와 비교: $35.60.
DT EPS 예상치 7.2% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.44 예상치 $0.41. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $35.60 (1.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
DT EPS 예상치 7.5% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.44 예상치 $0.41. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $35.60 (1.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
DT EPS 예상치 11.5% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.42 예상치 $0.38. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $35.60 (1.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
DT EPS 예상치 9.1% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.33 예상치 $0.30. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $35.60 (1.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
DT EPS 예상치 11.7% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.37 예상치 $0.33. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $35.60 (1.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
Dynatrace, Inc.에 대한 자주 묻는 질문
What is Dynatrace, Inc. stock price today?
Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) stock price is $36.14 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Dynatrace, Inc. do?
Dynatrace, Inc. engages in the advancement of observability for digital businesses, which transforms the complexity of modern digital ecosystems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It operates Dynatrace, an AI-powered observability platform, which provides solutions, including infrastructure, application, threat, and AI observability; digital experience; log analytics; application security; software delivery; and business analytics.
What is Dynatrace, Inc. market cap?
Dynatrace, Inc. has a market capitalization of $10.90B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is DT in?
Dynatrace, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Application industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol DT.
Is DT stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Dynatrace, Inc. trades 1.5% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $35.60
- Current Price: $36.14
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is DT stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 33 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Dynatrace, Inc. is $48.79, implying upside of 35.0% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $68.00
- Analyst Low Target: $36.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Dynatrace, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Dynatrace, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 18.2%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 20.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 14.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 14.0%
What are Dynatrace, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.5B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 81.2% | Stable |
What is DT's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 60.2x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 18.9x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 40.0x
How volatile is DT stock?
Dynatrace, Inc. has a beta of 0.79, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Dynatrace, Inc. have?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.19B
- Total Debt: $85.8M
- Net Cash Position: $1.10B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Dynatrace, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Dynatrace, Inc. generated $472.5M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $498.3M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Dynatrace, Inc. pay a dividend?
Dynatrace, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Dynatrace, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 5.11, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Dynatrace, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Dynatrace, Inc. scores 2.6/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is DT's return on equity (ROE)?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s return on equity is 7.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy DT stock?
DT shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol DT
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is DT a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Dynatrace, Inc. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Dynatrace, Inc.?
The current CEO of Dynatrace, Inc. is Mr. Rick M. McConnell.
What is DT's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $0.60
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $1.92
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $1.68
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $1.91
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This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
최종 업데이트: 2026년 4월 22일. 데이터 소스: SEC EDGAR(재무제표), Yahoo Finance(시장 데이터, 애널리스트 컨센서스). 최근 분기 데이터가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.