HubSpot, Inc.(HUBS) 종목 분석 — 적정가치·리스크·해자 평가
NYQ · Technology · Software - Application
HubSpot, Inc.는 지금 안전한 투자처인가?
HubSpot, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 5.02 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $220.00 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 2.6/5 stars.
HubSpot, Inc.는 파산할 가능성이 있는가? Altman Z-Score 분석
Z-Score of 5.02 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- 1.8 미만 — 위험 구간(파산 리스크 높음)
- 1.8~3.0 — 회색 구간(불확실성 높음)
- 3.0 초과 — 안전 구간(재무 건전)
HUBS의 Z-Score를 구성하는 요인은?
| 구성 요소 | 산식 | 수치 | 가중치 | 기여도 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.2549 | 1.2 | 0.31 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.1956 | 1.4 | -0.27 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0183 | 3.3 | 0.06 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 6.8658 | 0.6 | 4.12 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.8124 | 1.0 | 0.81 |
HUBS의 재무 건전성은 어떻게 변화해 왔는가?
| 연도 | Z-Score | 구간 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.42 | 안전 |
| 2023 | 4.79 | 안전 |
| 2024 | 4.66 | 안전 |
| 2025 | 5.02 | 안전 |
출처: HUBS의 SEC EDGAR 최신 10-K 기반 산출.
HubSpot, Inc.의 진정한 가치는 얼마인가?
산출 방법
| 입력값 | 수치 | 출처 |
|---|---|---|
| 예상 EPS(α) | $5.50 | 독자 모델: 공시 실적값 + 애널리스트 컨센서스(α 가중) |
| 전년도 EPS | $0.86 | 연차보고서(SEC EDGAR) |
| 애널리스트 컨센서스 EPS(금년도) | $12.45 | 34명의 애널리스트 컨센서스 |
| 실적 PER | 270.6x | 현재 시장 프라이싱 |
| 적정 PER(β 디스카운트) | 40.0x | 실적 PER을 가치 디스카운트 계수 β로 조정 후 상한 설정 |
| 실적 트렌드(γ) | 가속 성장 | 방향성 시그널: 예상 EPS와 실적 EPS 비교 |
월가 참고치: 애널리스트 컨센서스 목표주가는 $349.57(34명의 애널리스트). 참고치이며 당사 밸류에이션 모델에는 사용하지 않습니다.
출처: 실적 데이터는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류, 시장 데이터는 Yahoo Finance. 최근 분기가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.
HubSpot, Inc.는 지속적인 경쟁우위를 보유하고 있는가?
Moat rating: 2.6/5.
HUBS의 해자 점수를 구성하는 요인은?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
HUBS의 투하자본수익률은 얼마나 안정적인가?
| 연도 | ROIC | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -6.6% | — |
| 2023 | -8.2% | Declining |
| 2024 | 1.4% | Rising |
| 2025 | 3.4% | Rising |
출처: ROIC는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류 기반 산출.
HubSpot, Inc.의 배당은 안전한가?
HubSpot, Inc.의 주요 재무 지표
| 지표 | 최신 | 1년 전 | 3년 전 | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.1B | $2.6B | $1.7B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.0B | $0.0B | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.6B | $0.5B | $0.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 83.8% | 85.0% | 82.2% | Stable |
HUBS의 분석에 영향을 미치는 최근 이벤트
HUBS 실적 발표 예정
실적 발표 예정. 컨센서스 EPS 예상치: $2.47. 매출 예상치: $863.3M. 당사의 현재 적정가치: $220.00 — 예상치를 크게 상회하거나 하회하면 추정치가 변동될 수 있습니다.
HUBS 애널리스트 컨센서스: 92% 강세 (33/36명)
8 강력 매수, 25 매수, 3 중립, 0 매도, 0 강력 매도. 컨센서스 목표가: $349.57 (50.2% 상승 여력). 당사 독자 적정가치와 비교: $220.00.
HUBS EPS 예상치 3.4% 상회
실제 EPS: $3.09 예상치 $2.99. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $220.00 (5.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
HUBS EPS 예상치 2.9% 상회
실제 EPS: $2.66 예상치 $2.59. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $220.00 (5.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
HUBS EPS 예상치 3.1% 상회
실제 EPS: $2.19 예상치 $2.12. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $220.00 (5.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
HUBS EPS 예상치 1.0% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.78 예상치 $1.76. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $220.00 (5.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
HUBS EPS 예상치 5.6% 상회
실제 EPS: $2.32 예상치 $2.20. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $220.00 (5.5% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
HubSpot, Inc.에 대한 자주 묻는 질문
What is HubSpot, Inc. stock price today?
HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) stock price is $232.75 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does HubSpot, Inc. do?
HubSpot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform for businesses in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's CRM platform includes Marketing Hub, a toolset for marketing automation and email, social media, SEO, AEO, and reporting and analytics; Sales Hub offers email templates and tracking, conversations and live chat, meeting and call scheduling, lead and website visit alerts, lead scoring, sales automation, pipeline management, quoting, forecasting, and reporting; Service Hub, a service software designed to help businesses manage, respond, and connect with customers; and Content Hub that helps business with website pages, business blogging, video and podcast hosting, smart content, landing pages and forms, SEO recommendations, forms and lead flow, web analytics reporting, calls-to-action, and file manager. It offers Operations Hub, which provides programmable automation, data sync, data curation, and data quality tools; and Commerce Hub, a B2B commerce suite that provides payment links, invoices, quotes, subscription management, and automation and revenue reporting; and breeze, an AI that powers the customer platform that provides AI-powered insights, automation, content generation, and data enrichment, as well as Breeze Assistant, a go-to-market assistant to boost productivity and make work easier; and Breeze Agents, which helps teams automate work end-to-end from strategy to execution.
What is HubSpot, Inc. market cap?
HubSpot, Inc. has a market capitalization of $12.28B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is HUBS in?
HubSpot, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Application industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol HUBS.
Is HUBS stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, HubSpot, Inc. trades 5.8% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $220.00
- Current Price: $232.75
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is HUBS stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 34 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for HubSpot, Inc. is $349.57, implying upside of 50.2% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $625.00
- Analyst Low Target: $253.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is HubSpot, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for HubSpot, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 18.1%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 28.4%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 16.0%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 22.7%
What are HubSpot, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.1B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.0B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 83.8% | Stable |
What is HUBS's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 270.6x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 15.3x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 40.0x
How volatile is HUBS stock?
HubSpot, Inc. has a beta of 1.44, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does HubSpot, Inc. have?
HubSpot, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.70B
- Total Debt: $262.3M
- Net Cash Position: $1.44B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is HubSpot, Inc.'s free cash flow?
HubSpot, Inc. generated $651.6M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $760.7M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does HubSpot, Inc. pay a dividend?
HubSpot, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is HubSpot, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
HubSpot, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 5.02, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does HubSpot, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
HubSpot, Inc. scores 2.6/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is HUBS's return on equity (ROE)?
HubSpot, Inc.'s return on equity is 2.3%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy HUBS stock?
HUBS shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol HUBS
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is HUBS a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies HubSpot, Inc. as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of HubSpot, Inc.?
The current CEO of HubSpot, Inc. is Ms. Yamini Rangan.
What is HUBS's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $0.86
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $15.24
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $12.45
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $15.27
FairValueLabs 면책 조항
본 페이지의 모든 밸류에이션, 점수, 평가, 분류는 FairValueLabs 독자 밸류에이션 시스템으로 산출된 것입니다. 실제 시장 가치, 수익 보장 또는 전문적인 투자 조언을 의미하지 않습니다. 교육 및 리서치 목적의 분석 추정치입니다.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
최종 업데이트: 2026년 4월 22일. 데이터 소스: SEC EDGAR(재무제표), Yahoo Finance(시장 데이터, 애널리스트 컨센서스). 최근 분기 데이터가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.