Confluent, Inc.(CFLT) 종목 분석 — 적정가치·리스크·해자 평가
NMS · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Confluent, Inc.는 지금 안전한 투자처인가?
Confluent, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 3.35 places it in the safe zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Confluent, Inc.는 파산할 가능성이 있는가? Altman Z-Score 분석
Z-Score of 3.35 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- 1.8 미만 — 위험 구간(파산 리스크 높음)
- 1.8~3.0 — 회색 구간(불확실성 높음)
- 3.0 초과 — 안전 구간(재무 건전)
CFLT의 Z-Score를 구성하는 요인은?
| 구성 요소 | 산식 | 수치 | 가중치 | 기여도 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.6453 | 1.2 | 0.77 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.7653 | 1.4 | -1.07 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | -0.1273 | 3.3 | -0.42 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 6.1305 | 0.6 | 3.68 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.3908 | 1.0 | 0.39 |
CFLT의 재무 건전성은 어떻게 변화해 왔는가?
| 연도 | Z-Score | 구간 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4.03 | 안전 |
| 2023 | 3.69 | 안전 |
| 2024 | 3.45 | 안전 |
| 2025 | 3.35 | 안전 |
출처: CFLT의 SEC EDGAR 최신 10-K 기반 산출.
Confluent, Inc.의 진정한 가치는 얼마인가?
출처: 실적 데이터는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류, 시장 데이터는 Yahoo Finance. 최근 분기가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.
Confluent, Inc.는 지속적인 경쟁우위를 보유하고 있는가?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
CFLT의 해자 점수를 구성하는 요인은?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
CFLT의 투하자본수익률은 얼마나 안정적인가?
| 연도 | ROIC | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -25.0% | — |
| 2023 | -23.4% | Rising |
| 2024 | -20.4% | Rising |
| 2025 | -16.8% | Rising |
출처: ROIC는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류 기반 산출.
Confluent, Inc.의 배당은 안전한가?
Confluent, Inc.의 주요 재무 지표
| 지표 | 최신 | 1년 전 | 3년 전 | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.2B | $1.0B | $0.6B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.3B | −$0.3B | −$0.5B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.0B | $0.0B | −$0.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 74.3% | 73.3% | 65.5% | Rising |
CFLT의 분석에 영향을 미치는 최근 이벤트
CFLT 애널리스트 컨센서스: 0% 강세 (0/11명)
0 강력 매수, 0 매수, 11 중립, 0 매도, 0 강력 매도. 컨센서스 목표가: $31.00 (0.0% 상승 여력).
CFLT EPS 예상치 21.1% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.12 예상치 $0.10.
CFLT EPS 예상치 5.1% 상회
실제 EPS: $-0.19 예상치 $-0.20.
CFLT EPS 예상치 18.6% 하회
실제 EPS: $-0.24 예상치 $-0.20.
CFLT EPS 예상치 18.3% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.08 예상치 $0.07.
CFLT EPS 예상치 57.7% 상회
실제 EPS: $0.09 예상치 $0.06.
Confluent, Inc.에 대한 자주 묻는 질문
What is Confluent, Inc. stock price today?
Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) stock price is $30.99 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Confluent, Inc. do?
Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally. It provides platforms that allow customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers comprising Confluent Cloud, a managed cloud-native software-as-a-service (SaaS); and Confluent Platform and Confluent Private Cloud, an enterprise-grade self-managed software.
What is Confluent, Inc. market cap?
Confluent, Inc. has a market capitalization of $11.13B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is CFLT in?
Confluent, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Infrastructure industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol CFLT.
Is CFLT stock overvalued or undervalued?
We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for Confluent, Inc. at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.
What is CFLT stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Confluent, Inc. is $31.00, implying upside of 0.0% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $31.00
- Analyst Low Target: $31.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Confluent, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Confluent, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 17.7%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 21.7%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 15.4%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 27.3%
What are Confluent, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.2B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.3B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.0B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 74.3% | Rising |
What is CFLT's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 47.6x
How volatile is CFLT stock?
Confluent, Inc. has a beta of 0.95, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Confluent, Inc. have?
Confluent, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $2.05B
- Total Debt: $1.11B
- Net Cash Position: $948.6M
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Confluent, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Confluent, Inc. generated $210.3M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $64.3M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Confluent, Inc. pay a dividend?
Confluent, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Confluent, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Confluent, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 3.35, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Confluent, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Confluent, Inc. scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is CFLT's return on equity (ROE)?
Confluent, Inc.'s return on equity is -27.7%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy CFLT stock?
CFLT shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol CFLT
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is CFLT a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Confluent, Inc. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
What is CFLT's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.86
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $0.65
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $0.51
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $0.65
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최종 업데이트: 2026년 4월 22일. 데이터 소스: SEC EDGAR(재무제표), Yahoo Finance(시장 데이터, 애널리스트 컨센서스). 최근 분기 데이터가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.