Marriot International Class A Common Stock (MAR) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Is Marriot International Class A Common Stock a safe investment right now?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Marriot International Class A Common Stock (MAR) stock is $330.33, versus a market price of $356.72 — Fairly Valued. Predicted EPS $10.52 x 31.4 Fair PE.
Marriot International Class A Common Stock's Altman Z-Score of 3.96 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $330.33 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.4/5 stars.
Could Marriot International Class A Common Stock go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 3.96 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives MAR's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.1748 | 1.2 | -0.21 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.6686 | 1.4 | 0.94 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1526 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 2.9709 | 0.6 | 1.78 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.9508 | 1.0 | 0.95 |
How has MAR's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4.11 | Safe |
| 2023 | 4.15 | Safe |
| 2024 | 4.0 | Safe |
| 2025 | 3.96 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from MAR's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
Marriot International Class A Common Stock Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $10.52 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals (2Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $9.51 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $11.68 | 25 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 36.9x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 31.4x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Growing | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $381.32 (25 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Marriot International Class A Common Stock have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.4/5.
What makes up MAR's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is MAR's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 33.1% | — |
| 2023 | 35.2% | Rising |
| 2024 | 33.6% | Declining |
| 2025 | 33.8% | Stable |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Marriot International Class A Common Stock's dividend safe?
Can Marriot International Class A Common Stock afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 28.4%. FCF covers the dividend 6.3x. 28 consecutive years of payments.
US dividend withholding tax of 30% applies to non-US tax residents. This rate may be reduced under a tax treaty between the US and your country of residence. The adjusted yield shown assumes the default 30% rate. For informational purposes only — consult a qualified tax advisor.
Marriot International Class A Common Stock's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.2B | $25.1B | $20.8B | Rising |
| Net Income | $2.6B | $2.4B | $2.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.6B | $2.0B | $2.0B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 19.9% | 19.8% | 21.9% | Declining |
Recent events that affect our MAR analysis
MAR earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $2.82. Revenue estimate: $6.92B. Our current Fair Value: $330.33 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
MAR analyst consensus: 48% bullish (13 of 27 analysts)
1 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 12 Hold, 1 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $381.32 (6.9% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $330.33.
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR beat EPS estimates by 3.6%
Reported EPS: $3.19 vs estimate $3.08. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $330.33 (7.4% below current price).
MAR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR paid $0.7300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 28.4%.
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR beat EPS estimates by 6.5%
Reported EPS: $2.72 vs estimate $2.55. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $330.33 (7.4% below current price).
MAR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR paid $0.6700/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 28.4%.
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR missed EPS estimates by 1.5%
Reported EPS: $2.58 vs estimate $2.62. Our Fair Value of $330.33 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
MAR filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR paid $0.6700/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 28.4%.
MAR beat EPS estimates by 3.5%
Reported EPS: $2.47 vs estimate $2.39. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $330.33 (7.4% below current price).
MAR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR paid $0.6700/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 28.4%.
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR beat EPS estimates by 1.1%
Reported EPS: $2.65 vs estimate $2.62. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $330.33 (7.4% below current price).
MAR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR paid $0.6700/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 28.4%.
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR beat EPS estimates by 3.0%
Reported EPS: $2.32 vs estimate $2.25. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $330.33 (7.4% below current price).
MAR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR paid $0.6300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 28.4%.
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR beat EPS estimates by 2.7%
Reported EPS: $2.45 vs estimate $2.38. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $330.33 (7.4% below current price).
MAR filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MAR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Marriot International Class A Common Stock
What is Marriot International Class A Common Stock stock price today?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock (MAR) stock price is $356.72 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Marriot International Class A Common Stock do?
Marriott International, Inc. engages in the operation, franchising, and licensing of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates properties under the JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, The Luxury Collection, W Hotels, St.
What is Marriot International Class A Common Stock market cap?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock has a market capitalization of $93.02B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What sector and industry is MAR in?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Lodging industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol MAR.
Is MAR stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Marriot International Class A Common Stock trades 8.0% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $330.33
- Current Price: $356.72
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is MAR stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 25 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Marriot International Class A Common Stock is $381.32, implying upside of 6.9% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $425.00
- Analyst Low Target: $280.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Marriot International Class A Common Stock revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Marriot International Class A Common Stock:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 6.1%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 16.6%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 6.1%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 12.6%
What are Marriot International Class A Common Stock's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.2B | Rising |
| Net Income | $2.6B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 19.9% | Declining |
What is MAR's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 36.9x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 27.1x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 31.4x
How volatile is MAR stock?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock has a beta of 1.12, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Marriot International Class A Common Stock have?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $462.0M
- Total Debt: $17.77B
- Net Cash Position: $-17.31B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Marriot International Class A Common Stock's free cash flow?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock generated $2.06B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $3.73B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Marriot International Class A Common Stock pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Marriot International Class A Common Stock pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 0.8%
- Payout Ratio: 28.4%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 28
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: 23.9%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is Marriot International Class A Common Stock at risk of going bankrupt?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock's Altman Z-Score is 3.96, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Marriot International Class A Common Stock have a durable competitive advantage?
Marriot International Class A Common Stock scores 3.4/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
How do I buy MAR stock?
MAR shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol MAR
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is MAR a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Marriot International Class A Common Stock as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Marriot International Class A Common Stock?
The current CEO of Marriot International Class A Common Stock is Mr. Anthony G. Capuano Jr..
What is MAR's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $9.66
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $13.15
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $11.68
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $13.15
Other Consumer Cyclical companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Aug 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
MAR analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings