Risk Research · Bankruptcy

Bankruptcy Risk Stocks: Which Companies Are in Financial Distress?

We calculate the Altman Z-Score for every stock from SEC EDGAR filings. Companies below 1.8 are in the distress zone — here is who is flashing red right now, with full component breakdowns.

17In Distress Zone
< 1.8Z-Score Threshold
80-90%Historical Accuracy

All Distress-Zone Stocks — Ranked by Z-Score Severity

Every stock below has an Altman Z-Score below 1.8, placing it in the statistical bankruptcy risk zone. Lower scores indicate greater distress. The Margin of Safety column shows whether our fair value model considers the stock undervalued (positive) or overvalued (negative) at current prices — a negative margin in the distress zone is a classic value trap signal.

BIRD
$4.13

Allbirds, Inc.

Z-Score -7.33
Fair Value $0.00
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
CCL
$27.85

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

Z-Score 1.29
Fair Value $18.30
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety B
Overvalued MoS: -52.2%
DAL
$79.51

Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Z-Score 1.56
Fair Value $67.52
Moat ★★★½☆
Div Safety B
Overvalued MoS: -17.8%
DKNG
$25.37

DraftKings Inc.

Z-Score 1.29
Fair Value $14.00
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Overvalued MoS: -81.2%
F
$15.34

Ford Motor Company

Z-Score 0.82
Fair Value $0.00
Moat ★★☆☆☆
Div Safety C
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
GM
$83.22

General Motors Company

Z-Score 1.23
Fair Value $189.62
Moat ★★☆☆☆
Div Safety B
Strong Buy Zone MoS: 56.1%
GRAB
$3.46

Grab Holdings Limited

Z-Score 0.30
Fair Value $2.80
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Overvalued MoS: -23.6%
LCID
$5.68

Lucid Group, Inc.

Z-Score -3.20
Fair Value $0.00
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
RBLX
$43.35

Roblox Corporation

Z-Score 1.41
Fair Value $0.00
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
RIVN
$18.12

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

Z-Score -1.10
Fair Value $0.00
Moat ★★☆☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
SNAP
$6.07

Snap Inc.

Z-Score -0.28
Fair Value $0.00
Moat ★★☆☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
TMUS
$177.02

T-Mobile US, Inc.

Z-Score 1.53
Fair Value $156.80
Moat ★★★☆☆
Div Safety C
Fairly Valued MoS: -12.9%
WYNN
$103.60

Wynn Resorts, Limited

Z-Score 1.23
Fair Value $97.52
Moat ★★★☆☆
Div Safety B
Fairly Valued MoS: -6.2%

Why Should You Monitor Bankruptcy Risk Before Investing?

Every year, dozens of publicly traded companies file for Chapter 11 or Chapter 7 bankruptcy. In most cases, the warning signs were visible in the financial statements for at least 1-2 years before the filing. The Altman Z-Score was specifically designed to catch these signals early.

For investors, bankruptcy risk matters because:

  • Equity holders get wiped out last. In a bankruptcy, secured creditors and bondholders get paid first. Common shareholders often receive nothing — your investment goes to zero.
  • Distressed stocks are volatile. Even if the company survives, the stock price typically experiences severe drawdowns during the crisis period, creating psychological pressure to sell at the worst time.
  • Turnaround bets require conviction. If you are buying a distress-zone stock, you need a specific thesis for why the situation will improve — not just "it's cheap." Read more about how to distinguish turnarounds from value traps.

The Five Components of the Z-Score

The Z-Score is not a black box. It combines five ratios that each measure a different aspect of financial health. On every individual ticker page, we show the exact component values so you can see which factors are driving the overall score.

A · Working Capital / TA

Short-Term Liquidity

Can the company pay its bills? A negative ratio means current liabilities exceed current assets — an immediate red flag.

B · Retained Earnings / TA

Cumulative Profitability

Has the company been profitable over its lifetime? Low or negative retained earnings indicate a history of losses or excessive dividend payouts relative to earnings.

C · EBIT / TA

Operating Efficiency

The highest-weighted factor (3.3x). A company that cannot generate operating earnings from its asset base is burning capital regardless of other metrics.

D · Market Cap / TL

Market vs. Debt

How the market values the company relative to what it owes. A declining stock price directly weakens this ratio, creating a negative feedback loop.

E · Revenue / TA

Asset Utilization

Revenue generated per dollar of assets. Low utilization suggests the company is sitting on unproductive assets or experiencing revenue decline.

For the full formula and our implementation from SEC EDGAR data, see the methodology page. For a conceptual walkthrough, read Altman Z-Score Explained.

What to Do If Your Stock Is in the Distress Zone

Finding a stock in your portfolio in the distress zone does not mean you should panic-sell. Here is a framework for evaluating the situation:

  1. Check the trend. Is the Z-Score declining year-over-year, or has it stabilized? A score of 1.5 that's been improving is very different from one that's been falling. Each ticker page shows the 10-year Z-Score history.
  2. Look at cash reserves. How much cash does the company have? How many months of burn rate does that cover? Check the ticker page's financials summary.
  3. Read the latest 10-Q. Are there going-concern warnings from the auditor? Any debt covenants at risk of being breached? We link to the source SEC filings on every ticker page.
  4. Check the debt maturity schedule. When is the next large debt payment due? Can it be refinanced at reasonable rates?
  5. Cross-reference. Check the fair value — is the stock actually undervalued? Check the moat rating — does the company have a competitive advantage that supports recovery?

The trend matters more than the number. A Z-Score of 2.0 that fell from 4.0 over three years is more alarming than a Z-Score of 1.5 that improved from 0.8. Always look at the 10-year trajectory on each ticker page before making any decision based on the current score alone.

FAQ

Common questions

Why should I monitor bankruptcy risk before investing?

Equity holders get wiped out last in a bankruptcy. Secured creditors and bondholders get paid first — common shareholders often receive nothing. Even if the company avoids bankruptcy, distress-zone stocks experience severe volatility and drawdowns during crisis periods.

What does the distress zone (Z < 1.8) actually mean?

Altman's research found that companies with Z-Scores below 1.8 had an 80-90% probability of filing for bankruptcy within 1-2 years. The score aggregates five balance sheet ratios that measure liquidity, profitability, leverage, solvency, and asset efficiency.

Can a company recover from the distress zone?

Yes. Some companies restructure debt, sell assets, or pivot their business and return to the safe zone. The key is whether the trend is improving (Z-Score rising quarter over quarter) or deteriorating. A score of 1.5 that's been improving for two years is very different from one that's been falling.

Does the Z-Score work for all industries?

The original formula is most reliable for non-financial manufacturing and services companies. It is less accurate for banks, insurers, and REITs because their balance sheets have fundamentally different structures. We flag this limitation where applicable.

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Check whether a distress-zone stock is actually undervalued or a value trap.