Analysis Engine 03 Β· Moat Ratings

Which Stocks Have a Durable Competitive Advantage?

We rate every stock's moat from 1 to 5 stars based on 10 years of ROIC data, gross margin trends, and switching cost analysis. Wide moat = durable profits. No moat = race to the bottom.

"In business, I look for economic castles protected by unbreachable moats."

β€” Warren Buffett
57Wide Moat
230Narrow Moat
3 FactorsROIC + Margin + Switch
10 YearsHistorical Data
Our Methodology

How We Rate Economic Moats (1-5 Stars)

Fully quantitative. Fully transparent. Every ticker page shows the exact values used in the calculation.

40% WEIGHT

ROIC Consistency

Return on Invested Capital over 10 years. We measure the mean level and the coefficient of variation (stability). Consistently high ROIC signals a real structural advantage β€” not luck or a one-time event.

30% WEIGHT

Gross Margin Trend

Expanding margins = pricing power and strengthening position. Compressing margins = commoditization and moat erosion. The direction matters as much as the level.

30% WEIGHT

Switching Cost Estimate

Approximated from gross margin level. 60%+ margins typically indicate ecosystem lock-in, regulatory barriers, or integration complexity. Below 20% = commoditized, customers switch freely.

Morningstar vs. FairValueLabs: Morningstar uses qualitative analyst judgment (wide / narrow / no moat). We use a quantitative model (1-5 stars from ROIC + margins). Both have value β€” Morningstar captures nuance a formula can miss; ours is transparent, auditable, and updates automatically. For most investors, using both is ideal.

Real Examples

What Wide Moats Look Like in the Data

Different moat types, same result: sustained above-average returns that competitors cannot replicate.

V

Visa β€” The Toll Booth Moat

Visa does not lend money or take credit risk β€” it operates the payment network, earning a tiny fee on every transaction. Each new merchant strengthens the network for every cardholder. Classic network effects.

Moat
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†
Z-Score
7.5
Margin
-13.9%
KO

Coca-Cola β€” The Brand Moat

The world's most recognized brand plus a global distribution network no competitor can replicate. A century of stable ROIC and gross margins that barely wavered through recessions.

Moat
β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Grade
B
Z-Score
5.2
AAPL

Apple β€” The Ecosystem Moat

iPhone + Mac + iPad + Watch + Services create a walled garden where switching costs are enormous. Once inside the ecosystem, leaving means replacing everything. High ROIC, expanding services margins.

Moat
β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Z-Score
11.5
Margin
-10.0%
Moat Taxonomy

Five Sources of Competitive Advantage

Understanding why a moat exists helps you judge whether it will endure.

🌐

Network Effects

Each user makes the product more valuable for everyone. Payment networks (V, MA), social platforms, marketplaces.

πŸ”’

Switching Costs

Leaving is painful β€” data migration, retraining, ecosystem replacement. Enterprise software, healthcare devices.

✨

Intangible Assets

Brands (KO, PG), patents (pharma), regulatory licenses (utilities). Cannot be replicated with money alone.

πŸ“

Cost Advantages

Scale, process, or location that produces at lower cost than competitors. WMT, COST β€” volume-driven unit economics.

πŸ›οΈ

Efficient Scale

Markets too small for a second player. Utilities, pipelines, niche industrials β€” competitors would destroy returns for everyone.

Deep dive: Types of Economic Moats β†’
Watch Out

Moat Erosion: The Silent Portfolio Killer

The most dangerous situation: owning a stock you believe has a wide moat when the moat is actually narrowing. By the time the market notices, the stock has typically dropped 40-60%.

πŸ”»

Declining ROIC

Returns on capital falling for 3+ consecutive years β€” the quantitative fingerprint of a narrowing moat.

πŸ”»

Margin Compression

Forced to compete on price rather than differentiation. Gross margins trending down = pricing power evaporating.

πŸ”»

Market Share Loss

Competitors gaining ground despite increased spending. The moat is getting shallower.

See narrow moat stocks β†’
Moat Research

Explore Moat Analysis

🏰

Wide Moat Stocks

Companies with 3.5+ star moat ratings β€” the strongest competitive advantages in our coverage.

⚑

Narrow Moat Stocks

Competitive position in transition β€” moats that may be widening or eroding.

πŸ“–

Types of Economic Moats

Network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale explained.

Wide moat stocks

Highest-Rated Competitive Advantages

View all β†’
AAPL
$298.21

Apple Inc.

Z-Score 11.47
Fair Value $271.08
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -10.0%
AMAT
$595.70

Applied Materials, Inc.

Z-Score 22.07
Fair Value $444.00
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -34.2%
AMZN
$267.22

Amazon.com, Inc.

Z-Score 5.96
Fair Value $233.65
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -14.4%
ANET
$182.57

Arista Networks, Inc.

Z-Score 21.96
Fair Value $125.20
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Overvalued MoS: -45.8%
APP
$448.98

AppLovin Corporation

Z-Score 21.15
Fair Value $417.58
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -7.5%
ASML
$1,775.64

ASML Holding N.V.

Z-Score 15.30
Fair Value $1,221.60
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -45.4%
BKR
$57.77

Baker Hughes Company

Z-Score 2.53
Fair Value $43.96
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -31.4%
CELH
$30.14

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Z-Score 2.95
Fair Value $37.20
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Strong Buy Zone MoS: 19.0%
CL
$91.03

Colgate-Palmolive Company

Z-Score 6.85
Fair Value $93.90
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Watch Zone MoS: 3.1%
CLX
$91.17

The Clorox Company

Z-Score 3.31
Fair Value $85.30
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety C
Fairly Valued MoS: -6.9%
CMCSA
$23.19

Comcast Corporation

Z-Score 1.43
Fair Value $15.87
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -46.1%
CROX
$131.17

Crocs, Inc.

Z-Score 3.67
Fair Value $0.00
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Insufficient Data MoS: 0.0%
CSCO
$117.09

Cisco Systems, Inc.

Z-Score 4.48
Fair Value $105.59
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -10.9%
DE
$584.40

Deere & Company

Z-Score 3.17
Fair Value $511.55
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Fairly Valued MoS: -14.2%
DECK
$106.60

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Z-Score 11.67
Fair Value $93.01
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -14.6%
DPZ
$304.01

Domino's Pizza, Inc.

Z-Score 2.88
Fair Value $265.37
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -14.6%
ECL
$269.75

Ecolab Inc.

Z-Score 4.84
Fair Value $225.06
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -19.9%
ENPH
$44.98

Enphase Energy, Inc.

Z-Score 2.46
Fair Value $43.21
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -4.1%
FTNT
$121.86

Fortinet, Inc.

Z-Score 7.27
Fair Value $108.80
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -12.0%
GE
$353.73

GE Aerospace

Z-Score 3.58
Fair Value $288.70
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -22.5%
GOOG
$357.33

Alphabet Inc.

Z-Score 17.06
Fair Value $330.37
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety C
Fairly Valued MoS: -8.2%
GOOGL
$359.51

Alphabet Inc.

Z-Score 17.15
Fair Value $331.79
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety C
Fairly Valued MoS: -8.3%
HCA
$363.60

HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Z-Score 2.52
Fair Value $306.98
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -18.4%
ITW
$250.77

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

Z-Score 7.91
Fair Value $213.44
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -17.5%
KMB
$106.82

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

Z-Score 3.44
Fair Value $123.20
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Buy Zone MoS: 13.3%
KO
$83.08

The Coca-Cola Company

Z-Score 5.24
Fair Value $72.37
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Fairly Valued MoS: -14.8%
LIN
$522.54

Linde plc

Z-Score 4.07
Fair Value $468.64
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -11.5%
LLY
$1,006.70

Eli Lilly and Company

Z-Score 8.24
Fair Value $894.06
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -12.6%
LNG
$241.08

Cheniere Energy, Inc.

Z-Score 2.28
Fair Value $384.13
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Strong Buy Zone MoS: 37.2%
LRCX
$346.10

Lam Research Corporation

Z-Score 26.77
Fair Value $205.60
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -68.3%
LVS
$50.65

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

Z-Score 2.36
Fair Value $46.27
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Fairly Valued MoS: -9.5%
META
$618.43

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Z-Score 8.35
Fair Value $589.24
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety C
Fairly Valued MoS: -5.0%
MNST
$85.82

Monster Beverage Corporation

Z-Score 32.44
Fair Value $72.86
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Overvalued MoS: -17.8%
MO
$70.16

Altria Group, Inc.

Z-Score 4.71
Fair Value $60.75
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Overvalued MoS: -15.5%
MRK
$113.41

Merck & Co., Inc.

Z-Score 3.89
Fair Value $67.18
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Overvalued MoS: -68.8%
NFLX
$86.94

Netflix, Inc.

Z-Score 10.30
Fair Value $82.11
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -5.9%
NTAP
$119.93

NetApp, Inc.

Z-Score 2.64
Fair Value $102.26
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -17.3%
NVDA
$235.74

NVIDIA Corporation

Z-Score 74.04
Fair Value $251.20
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Watch Zone MoS: 6.2%
PANW
$238.21

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

Z-Score 8.10
Fair Value $92.00
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Overvalued MoS: -158.9%
PG
$146.08

The Procter & Gamble Company

Z-Score 5.38
Fair Value $127.95
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -14.2%
PH
$880.43

Parker-Hannifin Corporation

Z-Score 6.47
Fair Value $749.06
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -17.5%
PODD
$148.68

Insulet Corporation

Z-Score 5.54
Fair Value $141.60
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -5.0%
RCL
$265.38

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

Z-Score 2.13
Fair Value $216.66
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Overvalued MoS: -22.5%
ROK
$456.54

Rockwell Automation, Inc.

Z-Score 5.85
Fair Value $427.20
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -6.9%
ROST
$213.27

Ross Stores, Inc.

Z-Score 7.14
Fair Value $189.61
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -12.5%
SHW
$328.50

The Sherwin-Williams Company

Z-Score 3.69
Fair Value $276.80
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -18.7%
TDG
$1,215.34

TransDigm Group Incorporated

Z-Score 1.85
Fair Value $1,080.76
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Fairly Valued MoS: -12.4%
TGT
$123.08

Target Corporation

Z-Score 3.02
Fair Value $104.36
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety B
Overvalued MoS: -17.9%
TJX
$147.35

The TJX Companies, Inc.

Z-Score 6.62
Fair Value $127.47
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -15.6%
TRGP
$281.60

Targa Resources Corp.

Z-Score 2.83
Fair Value $232.26
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -21.2%
VEEV
$156.25

Veeva Systems Inc.

Z-Score 10.89
Fair Value $166.60
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety N/A
Watch Zone MoS: 6.2%
VRSK
$190.54

Verisk Analytics, Inc.

Z-Score 5.61
Fair Value $170.97
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -11.5%
VRT
$303.58

Vertiv Holdings Co

Z-Score 10.15
Fair Value $178.80
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety C
Overvalued MoS: -69.8%
WM
$218.82

Waste Management, Inc.

Z-Score 2.84
Fair Value $196.02
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Fairly Valued MoS: -11.6%
ZTS
$74.07

Zoetis Inc.

Z-Score 4.51
Fair Value $63.76
Moat β˜…β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†
Div Safety A
Overvalued MoS: -16.2%
FAQ

Common Questions

What is an economic moat?

A company's ability to maintain competitive advantages and earn above-average returns for an extended period. Popularized by Warren Buffett. Companies with wide moats sustain pricing power, loyalty, and margins against competition.

Should I only buy wide-moat stocks?

Moat quality is one input, not the only one. A wide-moat stock at an extreme premium may underperform a narrow-moat stock at a deep discount. The ideal is wide moat + fair price + safe Z-Score β€” the Strike Zone.

Can a moat erode?

Yes. Technology disruption, regulatory changes, and competitive innovation can erode even the widest moats. We track ROIC trends to detect erosion early β€” 3+ years of decline is a strong warning signal.

More analysis

Other Research Engines

Risk Audit

A wide moat means nothing if the company is in financial distress. Check the Z-Score.

Fair Value Lab

A wide moat at any price is not a good investment. Check the margin of safety.

Dividend Safety

Wide-moat dividend payers are the holy grail of income investing. Check sustainability.