C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. a safe investment right now?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 9.7 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $166.11 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.4/5 stars.
Could C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 9.7 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives CHRW's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.1911 | 1.2 | 0.23 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 1.2002 | 1.4 | 1.68 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1572 | 3.3 | 0.52 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 6.7725 | 0.6 | 4.06 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 3.2091 | 1.0 | 3.21 |
How has CHRW's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9.05 | Safe |
| 2023 | 8.82 | Safe |
| 2024 | 9.09 | Safe |
| 2025 | 9.7 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from CHRW's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $5.24 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals (1Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $4.83 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $6.16 | 24 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 37.3x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 31.7x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Growing | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $197.04 (24 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.4/5.
What makes up CHRW's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is CHRW's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25.7% | — |
| 2023 | 14.6% | Declining |
| 2024 | 18.9% | Rising |
| 2025 | 24.5% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 50.6%. FCF covers the dividend 5.3x. 30 consecutive years of payments.
US dividend withholding tax of 30% applies to non-US tax residents. This rate may be reduced under a tax treaty between the US and your country of residence. The adjusted yield shown assumes the default 30% rate. For informational purposes only — consult a qualified tax advisor.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.2B | $17.7B | $24.7B | Declining |
| Net Income | $0.6B | $0.5B | $0.9B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.8B | $0.4B | $1.5B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our CHRW analysis
CHRW earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $1.52. Revenue estimate: $4.27B. Our current Fair Value: $166.11 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
CHRW analyst consensus: 71% bullish (17 of 24 analysts)
3 Strong Buy, 14 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $197.04 (6.7% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $166.11.
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW beat EPS estimates by 9.6%
Reported EPS: $1.35 vs estimate $1.23. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $166.11 (10.0% below current price).
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW paid $0.6300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 50.6%.
CHRW filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW beat EPS estimates by 9.2%
Reported EPS: $1.23 vs estimate $1.13. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $166.11 (10.0% below current price).
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW paid $0.6300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 50.6%.
CHRW filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW beat EPS estimates by 7.4%
Reported EPS: $1.40 vs estimate $1.30. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $166.11 (10.0% below current price).
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 50.6%.
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW beat EPS estimates by 11.6%
Reported EPS: $1.29 vs estimate $1.16. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $166.11 (10.0% below current price).
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 50.6%.
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW beat EPS estimates by 11.4%
Reported EPS: $1.17 vs estimate $1.05. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $166.11 (10.0% below current price).
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 50.6%.
CHRW filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CHRW beat EPS estimates by 9.2%
Reported EPS: $1.21 vs estimate $1.11. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $166.11 (10.0% below current price).
CHRW filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. stock price today?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) stock price is $184.59 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding.
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. market cap?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has a market capitalization of $21.76B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Industrials sector.
What sector and industry is CHRW in?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol CHRW.
Is CHRW stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades 11.1% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $166.11
- Current Price: $184.59
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is CHRW stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 24 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is $197.04, implying upside of 6.7% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $230.00
- Analyst Low Target: $90.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 4.0%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 20.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 7.1%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 19.4%
What are C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.2B | Declining |
| Net Income | $0.6B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.8B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 8.4% | Rising |
What is CHRW's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 37.3x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 25.1x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 31.7x
How volatile is CHRW stock?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has a beta of 0.94, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. have?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $159.7M
- Total Debt: $1.64B
- Net Cash Position: $-1.48B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s free cash flow?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. generated $642.1M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $876.6M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 1.4%
- Payout Ratio: 50.6%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 30
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -21.2%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 9.70, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. scores 3.4/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is CHRW's return on equity (ROE)?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s return on equity is 34.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy CHRW stock?
CHRW shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol CHRW
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is CHRW a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.?
The current CEO of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is Mr. David P. Bozeman.
What is CHRW's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $4.95
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $7.35
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $6.16
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $7.35
Other Industrials companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
CHRW analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings