C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.(CHRW) 종목 분석 — 적정가치·리스크·해자 평가
NMS · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.는 지금 안전한 투자처인가?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 9.68 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $170.13 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.4/5 stars.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.는 파산할 가능성이 있는가? Altman Z-Score 분석
Z-Score of 9.68 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- 1.8 미만 — 위험 구간(파산 리스크 높음)
- 1.8~3.0 — 회색 구간(불확실성 높음)
- 3.0 초과 — 안전 구간(재무 건전)
CHRW의 Z-Score를 구성하는 요인은?
| 구성 요소 | 산식 | 수치 | 가중치 | 기여도 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.1911 | 1.2 | 0.23 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 1.2002 | 1.4 | 1.68 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1572 | 3.3 | 0.52 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 6.7327 | 0.6 | 4.04 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 3.2091 | 1.0 | 3.21 |
CHRW의 재무 건전성은 어떻게 변화해 왔는가?
| 연도 | Z-Score | 구간 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9.04 | 안전 |
| 2023 | 8.8 | 안전 |
| 2024 | 9.07 | 안전 |
| 2025 | 9.68 | 안전 |
출처: CHRW의 SEC EDGAR 최신 10-K 기반 산출.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.의 진정한 가치는 얼마인가?
산출 방법
| 입력값 | 수치 | 출처 |
|---|---|---|
| 예상 EPS(α) | $5.30 | 독자 모델: 공시 실적값 + 애널리스트 컨센서스(α 가중) |
| 전년도 EPS | $4.83 | 연차보고서(SEC EDGAR) |
| 애널리스트 컨센서스 EPS(금년도) | $6.01 | 25명의 애널리스트 컨센서스 |
| 실적 PER | 37.8x | 현재 시장 프라이싱 |
| 적정 PER(β 디스카운트) | 32.1x | 실적 PER을 가치 디스카운트 계수 β로 조정 후 상한 설정 |
| 실적 트렌드(γ) | 성장 중 | 방향성 시그널: 예상 EPS와 실적 EPS 비교 |
월가 참고치: 애널리스트 컨센서스 목표주가는 $190.52(25명의 애널리스트). 참고치이며 당사 밸류에이션 모델에는 사용하지 않습니다.
출처: 실적 데이터는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류, 시장 데이터는 Yahoo Finance. 최근 분기가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.는 지속적인 경쟁우위를 보유하고 있는가?
Moat rating: 3.4/5.
CHRW의 해자 점수를 구성하는 요인은?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
CHRW의 투하자본수익률은 얼마나 안정적인가?
| 연도 | ROIC | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25.7% | — |
| 2023 | 14.6% | Declining |
| 2024 | 18.9% | Rising |
| 2025 | 24.5% | Rising |
출처: ROIC는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류 기반 산출.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.의 배당은 안전한가?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.는 현재 배당 수준을 유지할 수 있는가?
Payout ratio is 51.5%. FCF covers the dividend 5.3x. 30 consecutive years of payments.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.의 주요 재무 지표
| 지표 | 최신 | 1년 전 | 3년 전 | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.2B | $17.7B | $24.7B | Declining |
| Net Income | $0.6B | $0.5B | $0.9B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.8B | $0.4B | $1.5B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | Rising |
CHRW의 분석에 영향을 미치는 최근 이벤트
CHRW 실적 발표 예정
실적 발표 예정. 컨센서스 EPS 예상치: $1.23. 매출 예상치: $4.04B. 당사의 현재 적정가치: $170.13 — 예상치를 크게 상회하거나 하회하면 추정치가 변동될 수 있습니다.
CHRW 애널리스트 컨센서스: 64% 강세 (16/25명)
3 강력 매수, 13 매수, 7 중립, 2 매도, 0 강력 매도. 컨센서스 목표가: $190.52 (4.5% 상승 여력). 당사 독자 적정가치와 비교: $170.13.
CHRW 주당 $0.6300 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: A. 배당성향: 51.5%.
CHRW EPS 예상치 9.2% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.23 예상치 $1.13. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $170.13 (6.7% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
CHRW 주당 $0.6300 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: A. 배당성향: 51.5%.
CHRW EPS 예상치 7.4% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.40 예상치 $1.30. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $170.13 (6.7% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
CHRW 주당 $0.6200 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: A. 배당성향: 51.5%.
CHRW EPS 예상치 11.6% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.29 예상치 $1.16. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $170.13 (6.7% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
CHRW 주당 $0.6200 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: A. 배당성향: 51.5%.
CHRW EPS 예상치 11.4% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.17 예상치 $1.05. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $170.13 (6.7% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
CHRW 주당 $0.6200 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: A. 배당성향: 51.5%.
CHRW EPS 예상치 9.2% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.21 예상치 $1.11. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $170.13 (6.7% 현재 주가 대비 하회).
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.에 대한 자주 묻는 질문
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. stock price today?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) stock price is $182.35 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding.
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. market cap?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has a market capitalization of $21.63B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Industrials sector.
What sector and industry is CHRW in?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol CHRW.
Is CHRW stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades 7.2% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $170.13
- Current Price: $182.35
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is CHRW stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 25 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is $190.52, implying upside of 4.5% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $224.00
- Analyst Low Target: $90.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 3.7%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 18.1%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 6.0%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 19.1%
What are C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.2B | Declining |
| Net Income | $0.6B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.8B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 8.4% | Rising |
What is CHRW's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 37.8x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 25.5x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 32.1x
How volatile is CHRW stock?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has a beta of 0.94, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. have?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $160.9M
- Total Debt: $1.40B
- Net Cash Position: $-1.23B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s free cash flow?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. generated $742.5M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $914.5M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 1.4%
- Payout Ratio: 51.5%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 30
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -21.2%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 9.68, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. scores 3.4/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is CHRW's return on equity (ROE)?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s return on equity is 32.9%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy CHRW stock?
CHRW shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol CHRW
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is CHRW a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.?
The current CEO of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is Mr. David P. Bozeman.
What is CHRW's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $4.83
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $7.16
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $6.01
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $7.16
FairValueLabs가 분석하는 기타 Industrials 기업
FairValueLabs 면책 조항
본 페이지의 모든 밸류에이션, 점수, 평가, 분류는 FairValueLabs 독자 밸류에이션 시스템으로 산출된 것입니다. 실제 시장 가치, 수익 보장 또는 전문적인 투자 조언을 의미하지 않습니다. 교육 및 리서치 목적의 분석 추정치입니다.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
최종 업데이트: 2026년 4월 22일. 데이터 소스: SEC EDGAR(재무제표), Yahoo Finance(시장 데이터, 애널리스트 컨센서스). 최근 분기 데이터가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.