FairValueLabs Valuation System Value-Speculation
GIS

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating

NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

$36.46 -0.14 (-0.4%) As of Jul 13, 2026 Not a buy/sell recommendation. See disclaimer.
Overall Verdict High Risk
2.11
Altman Z-ScoreGray Zone
N/A
Fair ValueInsufficient data
3.4
Moat RatingNarrow moat
TL;DR · Audit Summary

Is General Mills, Inc. a safe investment right now?

General Mills, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 2.11 places it in the gray zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 3.4/5 stars.

Price Chart · GIS
Section 01 · Financial Health

Could General Mills, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis

2.11

Z-Score of 2.11 places the company in the gray zone (1.8-3.0), warranting closer scrutiny.

  • Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
  • 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
  • Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)

What drives GIS's Z-Score?

Altman Z-Score components for GIS
ComponentFormulaValueWeightContribution
A · Working Capital / Total AssetsWC / TA-0.07181.2-0.09
B · Retained Earnings / Total AssetsRE / TA0.68341.40.96
C · EBIT / Total AssetsEBIT / TA0.03253.30.11
D · Market Cap / Total LiabilitiesMCap / TL0.85960.60.52
E · Revenue / Total AssetsRev / TA0.61381.00.61

How has GIS's financial health changed over time?

3.0 Safe1.8 Distress0.01.02.03.04.02023202420252026
GIS Z-Score history
YearZ-ScoreZone
20232.37Gray
20242.38Gray
20252.25Gray
20262.11Gray

Source: Calculated from GIS's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.

Section 02 · Fair Value Estimate

What is General Mills, Inc. actually worth?

Fair Value N/A Insufficient earnings data to estimate fair value for this stock.

Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.

Section 03 · Competitive Moat

Does General Mills, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?

★★★☆☆
Narrow moat

Moat rating: 3.4/5.

What makes up GIS's moat score?

ROIC Stability

★★★★☆

ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.

Gross Margin Trend

★★★☆☆

Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.

Switching Costs

★★★☆☆

Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.

How stable is GIS's return on invested capital?

0%-5%1%8%14%21%2023202420252026
GIS ROIC history
YearROICTrend
202316.0%
202415.8%Stable
202514.1%Declining
20264.7%Declining

Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.

Section 04 · Dividend Safety

Is General Mills, Inc.'s dividend safe?

A Dividend Safety Grade
Yield6.7%
Payout Ratio59.4%
Consecutive Years44
5Y Growth Rate-2.1%

Can General Mills, Inc. afford its dividend?

Payout ratio is 59.4%. FCF covers the dividend 1.6x. 44 consecutive years of payments.

🌐 Tax-Adjusted Yield (Non-US Investors)
~4.67% after 30% withholding

US dividend withholding tax of 30% applies to non-US tax residents. This rate may be reduced under a tax treaty between the US and your country of residence. The adjusted yield shown assumes the default 30% rate. For informational purposes only — consult a qualified tax advisor.

Section 05 · Financial Summary

General Mills, Inc.'s key financial metrics

GIS financial summary
MetricLatest1Y Ago3Y AgoTrend
Revenue $18.4B $19.5B $20.1B Declining
Net Income −$0.1B $2.3B $2.6B Declining
Free Cash Flow $1.6B $2.3B $2.1B Declining
Gross Margin 33.6% 34.5% 32.6% Stable
Section 06 · Lab Signals

Recent events that affect our GIS analysis

EARNINGS

GIS earnings report scheduled

Lab Impact

Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.72. Revenue estimate: $4.33B.

ANALYST

GIS analyst consensus: 20% bullish (4 of 20 analysts)

Lab Impact

2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 12 Hold, 2 Sell, 2 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $38.11 (4.5% upside).

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

EARNINGS

GIS beat EPS estimates by 19.2%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.95 vs estimate $0.80.

FILING

GIS filed annual report (10-K)

Lab Impact

Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

EARNINGS

GIS missed EPS estimates by 12.1%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.64 vs estimate $0.73.

FILING

GIS filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

EARNINGS

GIS beat EPS estimates by 7.1%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $1.10 vs estimate $1.03.

FILING

GIS filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

GIS beat EPS estimates by 5.5%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.86 vs estimate $0.82.

FILING

GIS filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

FILING

GIS filed annual report (10-K)

Lab Impact

Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

GIS beat EPS estimates by 4.1%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.74 vs estimate $0.71.

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6000/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

EARNINGS

GIS beat EPS estimates by 4.0%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $1.00 vs estimate $0.96.

FILING

GIS filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

GIS filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

GIS paid $0.6000/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.4%.

Section 07 · FAQ

Common questions about General Mills, Inc.

What is General Mills, Inc. stock price today?

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) stock price is $36.46 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.

What does General Mills, Inc. do?

General Mills, Inc. manufactures and markets branded consumer food in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: North America Retail; International; North America Pet; and North America Foodservice.

What is General Mills, Inc. market cap?

General Mills, Inc. has a market capitalization of $19.46B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Defensive sector.

What sector and industry is GIS in?

General Mills, Inc. operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically within the Packaged Foods industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol GIS.

Is GIS stock overvalued or undervalued?

We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for General Mills, Inc. at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.

What is GIS stock forecast and analyst target price?

Based on 18 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for General Mills, Inc. is $38.11, implying upside of 4.5% from the current price.

  • Analyst High Target: $57.00
  • Analyst Low Target: $31.00

Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.

Is General Mills, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?

Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for General Mills, Inc.:

  • Revenue growth (current year est.): -3.1%
  • EPS growth (current year est.): -12.8%
  • Revenue growth (next year est.): 0.9%
  • EPS growth (next year est.): 4.3%
What are General Mills, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
MetricLatestTrend
Revenue$18.4BDeclining
Net Income−$0.1BDeclining
Free Cash Flow$1.6BDeclining
Gross Margin33.6%Stable
What is GIS's P/E ratio?

The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:

  • Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 11.3x
How volatile is GIS stock?

General Mills, Inc. has a beta of -0.05, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.

How much cash and debt does General Mills, Inc. have?

General Mills, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:

  • Total Cash: $399.0M
  • Total Debt: N/A
  • Net Cash Position: $399.0M

A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.

What is General Mills, Inc.'s free cash flow?

General Mills, Inc. generated $2.31B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $2.17B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.

Does General Mills, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?

Yes, General Mills, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:

  • Dividend Yield: 6.7%
  • Payout Ratio: 59.4%
  • Consecutive Years Paid: 44
  • 5-Year Dividend Growth: -2.1%
  • FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is General Mills, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?

General Mills, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 2.11, placing it in the gray zone (1.8–3.0) — some financial uncertainty. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.

Does General Mills, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?

General Mills, Inc. scores 3.4/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:

  • ROIC Stability: 4/5
  • Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
  • Switching Costs: 3/5

A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.

What is GIS's return on equity (ROE)?

General Mills, Inc.'s return on equity is -1.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.

How do I buy GIS stock?

GIS shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:

  1. Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
  2. Search for ticker symbol GIS
  3. Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares

This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.

Is GIS a value stock or speculative?

FairValueLabs classifies General Mills, Inc. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.

Who is the CEO of General Mills, Inc.?

The current CEO of General Mills, Inc. is Mr. Jeffrey L. Harmening.

What is GIS's earnings per share (EPS)?

Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:

  • Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.16
  • Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $3.23
  • Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $3.10
  • Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $3.23
David Chen

Analyst-of-record: David Chen, Lead Equity Analyst · CFA. Last comprehensive review of this page: Jun 27, 2026.

Spotted a calculation error or have a question on the editorial frame? Email [email protected].

FairValueLabs Disclaimer

All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.

This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Last updated: Jul 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.

GIS analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings