Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Is Oklo Inc. a safe investment right now?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Oklo Inc. (OKLO) stock is $79.88, versus a market price of $44.38 — Watch — Analyst Anchor. Analyst Consensus (20 analysts) — EPS model not applicable at negative earnings.
Oklo Inc. is in the Utilities sector — Altman Z-Score does not apply to this type of company. Our fair value estimate is $79.88 (Watch — Analyst Anchor).
Oklo Inc. is part of the Powering AI — Nuclear, Utilities, Cooling & Electrical group in our AI coverage — compare its fair value against every other AI, cloud, and quantum stock through a value investing lens.
Why the Altman Z-Score does not apply to Oklo Inc.
The Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing and non-financial companies. It uses ratios like Working Capital / Total Assets and Revenue / Total Assets that produce misleading results for Utilities companies.
- Banks hold massive assets (loans) that inflate Total Assets, making WC/TA nearly zero — a false distress signal
- Utilities carry high regulated debt by design — the model misreads leverage as risk
- REITs use Funds From Operations (FFO), not Free Cash Flow — standard cash flow analysis doesn't apply
Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing companies and does not apply to banks, utilities, or REITs.
Note: A sector-specific financial health model for Utilities companies is planned for a future update.
Oklo Inc. Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.00 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Trailing P/E | 0.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 0.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | N/A | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $79.88 (20 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Why standard moat analysis does not apply to Oklo Inc.
Our standard moat model uses ROIC stability, gross margin trends, and switching costs — metrics designed for product and service companies. Utilities companies compete on fundamentally different dimensions.
- Banks — moat comes from deposit cost advantage, net interest margin stability, and fee income diversification
- Utilities — moat is a regulatory monopoly with guaranteed rate of return on invested capital
- REITs — moat comes from property portfolio quality, location, tenant mix, and cap rate advantages
Standard moat analysis (ROIC/gross margin/switching costs) does not reliably apply to Utilities companies. Banks compete on net interest margin, utilities on regulated returns, and REITs on occupancy and cap rates.
Note: A sector-specific competitive analysis for Utilities companies is planned for a future update.
Is Oklo Inc.'s dividend safe?
Oklo Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.0B | $0.0B | $0.0B | Stable |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | −$0.0B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.1B | −$0.0B | −$0.0B | Declining |
Recent events that affect our OKLO analysis
OKLO earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $-0.23. Revenue estimate: $728880.00. Our current Fair Value: $79.88 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
OKLO analyst consensus: 60% bullish (15 of 25 analysts)
5 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $79.88 (80.0% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $79.88.
OKLO missed EPS estimates by 74.6%
Reported EPS: $-0.28 vs estimate $-0.16. Our Fair Value of $79.88 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
OKLO filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO missed EPS estimates by 63.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.27 vs estimate $-0.17. Our Fair Value of $79.88 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
OKLO filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO missed EPS estimates by 60.9%
Reported EPS: $-0.20 vs estimate $-0.12. Our Fair Value of $79.88 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO missed EPS estimates by 70.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.18 vs estimate $-0.11. Our Fair Value of $79.88 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
OKLO filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO beat EPS estimates by 32.7%
Reported EPS: $-0.07 vs estimate $-0.10. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $79.88 (80.0% above current price).
OKLO filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO missed EPS estimates by 22.7%
Reported EPS: $-0.09 vs estimate $-0.07. Our Fair Value of $79.88 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
OKLO filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Oklo Inc.
What is Oklo Inc. stock price today?
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) stock price is $44.38 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Oklo Inc. do?
Oklo Inc. develops fission power plants to provide energy at scale to customers in the United States. It offers Aurora Powerhouse, which is designed to produce between 15 and up to 75 megawatts of electricity.
What is Oklo Inc. market cap?
Oklo Inc. has a market capitalization of $8.26B, classifying it as a mid-cap stock in the Utilities sector.
What sector and industry is OKLO in?
Oklo Inc. operates in the Utilities sector, specifically within the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol OKLO.
Is OKLO stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Oklo Inc. trades 44.4% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $79.88
- Current Price: $44.38
- Valuation Zone: Watch — Analyst Anchor
What is OKLO stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 20 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Oklo Inc. is $79.88, implying upside of 80.0% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $130.00
- Analyst Low Target: $14.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Oklo Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Oklo Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 0.0%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -28.6%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 226.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): -1.3%
What are Oklo Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.0B | Stable |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.1B | Declining |
What is OKLO's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): -44.2x
How volatile is OKLO stock?
Oklo Inc. has a beta of 1.20, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Oklo Inc. have?
Oklo Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $2.47B
- Total Debt: $4.0M
- Net Cash Position: $2.46B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Oklo Inc.'s free cash flow?
Oklo Inc. generated $-239.3M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $-116.9M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Oklo Inc. pay a dividend?
Oklo Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Oklo Inc. financially healthy?
The Altman Z-Score — the standard bankruptcy prediction model — is not applicable to Utilities companies like Oklo Inc.. The formula uses ratios designed for manufacturing firms that produce misleading results for banks, utilities, and REITs.
Does Oklo Inc. have a competitive moat?
Our standard moat model (based on ROIC, gross margins, and switching costs) does not apply to Utilities companies. These firms compete on fundamentally different dimensions such as regulatory advantages, deposit cost structures, or property portfolios.
What is OKLO's return on equity (ROE)?
Oklo Inc.'s return on equity is -7.7%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy OKLO stock?
OKLO shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol OKLO
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is OKLO a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Oklo Inc. as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of Oklo Inc.?
The current CEO of Oklo Inc. is Mr. Jacob Dewitte.
What is OKLO's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.94
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $-1.00
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $-0.93
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $-0.94
Other Utilities companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Aug 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
OKLO analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings