Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Is Nebius Group N.V. a safe investment right now?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) stock is $250.75, versus a market price of $277.68 — Watch — Analyst Anchor. Analyst Consensus (16 analysts) — EPS model not applicable at negative earnings.
Nebius Group N.V.'s Altman Z-Score of 6.52 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $250.75 (Watch — Analyst Anchor). Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Nebius Group N.V. is part of the Cloud Hyperscalers & Frontier Infrastructure group in our AI coverage — compare its fair value against every other AI, cloud, and quantum stock through a value investing lens.
Could Nebius Group N.V. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 6.52 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives NBIS's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.2561 | 1.2 | 0.31 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.2655 | 1.4 | 0.37 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0061 | 3.3 | 0.02 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 9.6328 | 0.6 | 5.78 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.0426 | 1.0 | 0.04 |
How has NBIS's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12.55 | Safe |
| 2023 | 8.74 | Safe |
| 2024 | 155.32 | Safe |
| 2025 | 6.52 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from NBIS's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
Nebius Group N.V. Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.00 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Trailing P/E | 0.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 0.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | N/A | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $250.75 (16 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Nebius Group N.V. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up NBIS's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is NBIS's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -3.2% | — |
| 2023 | -9.0% | Declining |
| 2024 | -10.8% | Declining |
| 2025 | 0.9% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Nebius Group N.V.'s dividend safe?
Nebius Group N.V.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.5B | $0.1B | $0.0B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.1B | −$0.6B | $0.7B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$3.7B | −$0.6B | $0.7B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 68.6% | 52.2% | N/A | — |
Recent events that affect our NBIS analysis
NBIS earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $-0.70. Revenue estimate: $573.9M. Our current Fair Value: $250.75 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
NBIS analyst consensus: 61% bullish (11 of 18 analysts)
1 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $250.75 (9.7% downside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $250.75.
NBIS beat EPS estimates by 21.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.68 vs estimate $-0.86. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $250.75 (9.7% below current price).
NBIS beat EPS estimates by 396.1%
Reported EPS: $2.11 vs estimate $-0.71. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $250.75 (9.7% below current price).
NBIS missed EPS estimates by 63.1%
Reported EPS: $-0.99 vs estimate $-0.60. Our Fair Value of $250.75 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
NBIS beat EPS estimates by 23.3%
Reported EPS: $-0.40 vs estimate $-0.52. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $250.75 (9.7% below current price).
NBIS beat EPS estimates by 8.7%
Reported EPS: $-0.38 vs estimate $-0.42. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $250.75 (9.7% below current price).
NBIS beat EPS estimates by 12.7%
Reported EPS: $-0.39 vs estimate $-0.44. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $250.75 (9.7% below current price).
NBIS beat EPS estimates by 4.8%
Reported EPS: $-0.37 vs estimate $-0.39. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $250.75 (9.7% below current price).
Common questions about Nebius Group N.V.
What is Nebius Group N.V. stock price today?
Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) stock price is $277.68 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Nebius Group N.V. do?
Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. It also provides TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robotics.
What is Nebius Group N.V. market cap?
Nebius Group N.V. has a market capitalization of $75.49B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Communication Services sector.
What sector and industry is NBIS in?
Nebius Group N.V. operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically within the Internet Content & Information industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol NBIS.
Is NBIS stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Nebius Group N.V. trades 10.7% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $250.75
- Current Price: $277.68
- Valuation Zone: Watch — Analyst Anchor
What is NBIS stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 16 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Nebius Group N.V. is $250.75, implying downside of 9.7% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $410.00
- Analyst Low Target: $120.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Nebius Group N.V. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Nebius Group N.V.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 537.7%
- EPS growth (current year est.): nan%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 238.0%
- EPS growth (next year est.): -108.1%
What are Nebius Group N.V.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.5B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.1B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$3.7B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 68.6% | — |
What is NBIS's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): -92.6x
How volatile is NBIS stock?
Nebius Group N.V. has a beta of 1.43, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Nebius Group N.V. have?
Nebius Group N.V.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $8.04B
- Total Debt: $10.20B
- Net Cash Position: $-2.15B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Nebius Group N.V.'s free cash flow?
Nebius Group N.V. generated $-9.61B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $5.26B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Nebius Group N.V. pay a dividend?
Nebius Group N.V. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Nebius Group N.V. at risk of going bankrupt?
Nebius Group N.V.'s Altman Z-Score is 6.52, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Nebius Group N.V. have a durable competitive advantage?
Nebius Group N.V. scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is NBIS's return on equity (ROE)?
Nebius Group N.V.'s return on equity is 0.6%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy NBIS stock?
NBIS shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol NBIS
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is NBIS a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Nebius Group N.V. as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of Nebius Group N.V.?
The current CEO of Nebius Group N.V. is Mr. Arkady Volozh.
What is NBIS's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.08
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $-3.00
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $-2.80
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $-5.83
Other Communication Services companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Aug 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
NBIS analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings