MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NGM · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Is MongoDB, Inc. a safe investment right now?
MongoDB, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 23.43 places it in the safe zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 2.6/5 stars.
Could MongoDB, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 23.43 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives MDB's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.6506 | 1.2 | 0.78 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.5086 | 1.4 | -0.71 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | -0.014 | 3.3 | -0.05 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 37.9157 | 0.6 | 22.75 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.6555 | 1.0 | 0.66 |
How has MDB's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9.94 | Safe |
| 2024 | 10.57 | Safe |
| 2025 | 28.85 | Safe |
| 2026 | 23.43 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from MDB's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is MongoDB, Inc. actually worth?
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does MongoDB, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.6/5.
What makes up MDB's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is MDB's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -17.2% | — |
| 2024 | -7.0% | Rising |
| 2025 | -4.4% | Rising |
| 2026 | -1.8% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is MongoDB, Inc.'s dividend safe?
MongoDB, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.5B | $2.0B | $1.3B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | −$0.3B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.5B | $0.1B | −$0.0B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 71.8% | 73.3% | 72.8% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our MDB analysis
MDB earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $1.61. Revenue estimate: $734.4M.
MDB analyst consensus: 78% bullish (32 of 41 analysts)
8 Strong Buy, 24 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $395.77 (4.1% upside).
MDB filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB beat EPS estimates by 11.5%
Reported EPS: $1.32 vs estimate $1.18.
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB beat EPS estimates by 700.4%
Reported EPS: $0.18 vs estimate $-0.03.
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB beat EPS estimates by 66.9%
Reported EPS: $1.32 vs estimate $0.79.
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB beat EPS estimates by 52.4%
Reported EPS: $1.00 vs estimate $0.66.
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB beat EPS estimates by 52.0%
Reported EPS: $1.00 vs estimate $0.66.
MDB filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB beat EPS estimates by 91.0%
Reported EPS: $1.28 vs estimate $0.67.
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MDB filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about MongoDB, Inc.
What is MongoDB, Inc. stock price today?
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) stock price is $380.18 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does MongoDB, Inc. do?
MongoDB, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides general purpose database platform worldwide. It offers MongoDB Atlas, a hosted multi-cloud database-as-a-service solution; MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a commercial database server for enterprise customers to run in the cloud, on-premises, or in a hybrid environment; and Community Server, a free-to-download version of its database, which includes the functionality that developers need to get started with MongoDB. It offers professional services comprising consulting and training.
What is MongoDB, Inc. market cap?
MongoDB, Inc. has a market capitalization of $30.58B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is MDB in?
MongoDB, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Infrastructure industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol MDB.
Is MDB stock overvalued or undervalued?
We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for MongoDB, Inc. at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.
What is MDB stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 37 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for MongoDB, Inc. is $395.77, implying upside of 4.1% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $545.00
- Analyst Low Target: $272.64
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is MongoDB, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for MongoDB, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 20.2%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 23.4%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 17.6%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 19.7%
What are MongoDB, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.5B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.5B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 71.8% | Stable |
What is MDB's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 51.8x
How volatile is MDB stock?
MongoDB, Inc. has a beta of 1.49, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does MongoDB, Inc. have?
MongoDB, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $2.43B
- Total Debt: $58.6M
- Net Cash Position: $2.37B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is MongoDB, Inc.'s free cash flow?
MongoDB, Inc. generated $517.6M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $596.8M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does MongoDB, Inc. pay a dividend?
MongoDB, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is MongoDB, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
MongoDB, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 23.43, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does MongoDB, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
MongoDB, Inc. scores 2.6/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is MDB's return on equity (ROE)?
MongoDB, Inc.'s return on equity is -1.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy MDB stock?
MDB shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol MDB
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is MDB a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies MongoDB, Inc. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of MongoDB, Inc.?
The current CEO of MongoDB, Inc. is Mr. Chirantan Jitendra Desai.
What is MDB's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.38
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $7.34
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $6.13
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $7.34
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
MDB analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings