Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Technology · Software - Application
Is Atlassian Corporation a safe investment right now?
As of Sep 7, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) stock is $196.23, versus a market price of $176.42 — Watch — Analyst Anchor. Analyst Consensus (31 analysts) — EPS model not applicable at negative earnings.
Atlassian Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 4.87 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $196.23 (Watch — Analyst Anchor). Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could Atlassian Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 4.87 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives TEAM's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.1268 | 1.2 | -0.15 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -1.0003 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0117 | 3.3 | 0.04 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 8.8519 | 0.6 | 5.31 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 1.0768 | 1.0 | 1.08 |
How has TEAM's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7.75 | Safe |
| 2024 | 6.46 | Safe |
| 2025 | 5.69 | Safe |
| 2026 | 4.87 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from TEAM's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
Atlassian Corporation Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
That gap between price and value is the whole point — it is Klarman on paying less than a business is worth, and it is why we publish the inputs rather than a verdict. If you want the mechanics, see how this intrinsic value estimate is built; for the original statement of the method, see the book that defined fundamental analysis.
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.00 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Trailing P/E | 0.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 0.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | N/A | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $196.23 (31 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Atlassian Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
A moat rating means little without the definition behind it — read how economic moats are defined before you lean on this score. It falls short of our 3.5-star wide-moat bar — see the full wide-moat list for the companies that clear it.
What makes up TEAM's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is TEAM's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -17.0% | — |
| 2024 | -2.5% | Rising |
| 2025 | -2.9% | Stable |
| 2026 | 3.5% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Atlassian Corporation's dividend safe?
Atlassian Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.6B | $5.2B | $3.5B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | −$0.3B | −$0.5B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.3B | $1.4B | $0.8B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 84.8% | 82.8% | 82.1% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our TEAM analysis
TEAM earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $1.42. Revenue estimate: $1.71B. Our current Fair Value: $196.23 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
TEAM analyst consensus: 82% bullish (27 of 33 analysts)
6 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $196.23 (11.2% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $196.23.
TEAM filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 24.5%
Reported EPS: $1.87 vs estimate $1.50. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 31.0%
Reported EPS: $1.75 vs estimate $1.34. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 6.6%
Reported EPS: $1.22 vs estimate $1.14. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 24.1%
Reported EPS: $1.04 vs estimate $0.84. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 14.6%
Reported EPS: $0.98 vs estimate $0.85. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 4.8%
Reported EPS: $0.97 vs estimate $0.93. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TEAM beat EPS estimates by 27.1%
Reported EPS: $0.96 vs estimate $0.76. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $196.23 (11.2% above current price).
TEAM filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Atlassian Corporation
What is Atlassian Corporation stock price today?
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) stock price is $176.42 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Atlassian Corporation do?
Atlassian Corporation provides a collaboration software that enables organizations to connect all teams through a system of work that unlocks productivity at scale worldwide. The company's product portfolio includes Jira, Confluence, Loom, Jira Service Management, Rovo, Bitbucket, Compass, Jira Product Discovery, Focus, Talent, Trello, and Guard. It also offers Collections, a curated sets of apps and agents built on the Atlassian cloud platform and designed to solve cross-functional customer workflows, including teamwork, service, strategy, software, and product collections.
What is Atlassian Corporation market cap?
Atlassian Corporation has a market capitalization of $44.66B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is TEAM in?
Atlassian Corporation operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Application industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol TEAM.
Is TEAM stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Atlassian Corporation trades 10.1% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $196.23
- Current Price: $176.42
- Valuation Zone: Watch — Analyst Anchor
What is TEAM stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 31 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Atlassian Corporation is $196.23, implying upside of 11.2% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $480.00
- Analyst Low Target: $107.98
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Atlassian Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Atlassian Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 13.8%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -7.3%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 14.6%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 24.4%
What are Atlassian Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.6B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.3B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 84.8% | Stable |
What is TEAM's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 26.2x
How volatile is TEAM stock?
Atlassian Corporation has a beta of 1.16, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Atlassian Corporation have?
Atlassian Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.24B
- Total Debt: $1.23B
- Net Cash Position: $6.6M
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Atlassian Corporation's free cash flow?
Atlassian Corporation generated $1.66B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $1.35B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Atlassian Corporation pay a dividend?
Atlassian Corporation does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Atlassian Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Atlassian Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 4.87, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Atlassian Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Atlassian Corporation scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is TEAM's return on equity (ROE)?
Atlassian Corporation's return on equity is -4.5%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy TEAM stock?
TEAM shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol TEAM
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is TEAM a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Atlassian Corporation as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Atlassian Corporation?
The current CEO of Atlassian Corporation is Mr. Michael Cannon-Brookes.
What is TEAM's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.21
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $6.74
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $5.42
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $6.74
Other Technology companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
TEAM analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings