Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Energy · Uranium
Is Centrus Energy Corp. a safe investment right now?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) stock is $257.33, versus a market price of $190.15 — Watch — Analyst Anchor. Analyst Consensus (15 analysts) — EPS model not applicable at negative earnings.
Centrus Energy Corp.'s Altman Z-Score of 2.63 places it in the gray zone. Our fair value estimate is $257.33 (Watch — Analyst Anchor). Moat rating: 3.1/5 stars.
Centrus Energy Corp. is part of the Powering AI — Nuclear, Utilities, Cooling & Electrical group in our AI coverage — compare its fair value against every other AI, cloud, and quantum stock through a value investing lens.
Could Centrus Energy Corp. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 2.63 places the company in the gray zone (1.8-3.0), warranting closer scrutiny.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives LEU's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.7935 | 1.2 | 0.95 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.0006 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0408 | 3.3 | 0.13 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 2.2573 | 0.6 | 1.35 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.1834 | 1.0 | 0.18 |
How has LEU's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3.43 | Safe |
| 2023 | 3.8 | Safe |
| 2024 | 3.71 | Safe |
| 2025 | 2.63 | Gray |
Source: Calculated from LEU's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
Centrus Energy Corp. Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.00 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Trailing P/E | 100.1x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 0.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | N/A | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $257.33 (15 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Centrus Energy Corp. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.1/5.
What makes up LEU's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is LEU's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 60.0% | — |
| 2023 | 41.8% | Declining |
| 2024 | 10.7% | Declining |
| 2025 | 5.1% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Centrus Energy Corp.'s dividend safe?
Centrus Energy Corp.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.4B | $0.4B | $0.3B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.1B | $0.1B | $0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.0B | $0.0B | $0.0B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 26.2% | 25.2% | 40.1% | Declining |
Recent events that affect our LEU analysis
LEU earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.05. Revenue estimate: $68.4M. Our current Fair Value: $257.33 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
LEU analyst consensus: 71% bullish (12 of 17 analysts)
2 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $257.33 (35.3% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $257.33.
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU missed EPS estimates by 4.9%
Reported EPS: $0.77 vs estimate $0.81. Our Fair Value of $257.33 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU beat EPS estimates by 288.9%
Reported EPS: $1.05 vs estimate $0.27. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $257.33 (35.3% above current price).
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU missed EPS estimates by 51.4%
Reported EPS: $0.79 vs estimate $1.63. Our Fair Value of $257.33 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU missed EPS estimates by 46.8%
Reported EPS: $0.19 vs estimate $0.36. Our Fair Value of $257.33 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU beat EPS estimates by 176.3%
Reported EPS: $1.59 vs estimate $0.58. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $257.33 (35.3% above current price).
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU beat EPS estimates by 1468.5%
Reported EPS: $1.06 vs estimate $-0.08. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $257.33 (35.3% above current price).
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LEU beat EPS estimates by 95.1%
Reported EPS: $3.20 vs estimate $1.64. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $257.33 (35.3% above current price).
LEU filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Centrus Energy Corp.
What is Centrus Energy Corp. stock price today?
Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) stock price is $190.15 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Centrus Energy Corp. do?
Centrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel components for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Japan, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions.
What is Centrus Energy Corp. market cap?
Centrus Energy Corp. has a market capitalization of $3.79B, classifying it as a mid-cap stock in the Energy sector.
What sector and industry is LEU in?
Centrus Energy Corp. operates in the Energy sector, specifically within the Uranium industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol LEU.
Is LEU stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Centrus Energy Corp. trades 26.1% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $257.33
- Current Price: $190.15
- Valuation Zone: Watch — Analyst Anchor
What is LEU stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 15 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Centrus Energy Corp. is $257.33, implying upside of 35.3% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $340.00
- Analyst Low Target: $170.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Centrus Energy Corp. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Centrus Energy Corp.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 3.9%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 2.2%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 1.1%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 8.8%
What are Centrus Energy Corp.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.4B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.0B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 26.2% | Declining |
What is LEU's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 100.1x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 50.8x
How volatile is LEU stock?
Centrus Energy Corp. has a beta of 1.35, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Centrus Energy Corp. have?
Centrus Energy Corp.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.87B
- Total Debt: $1.18B
- Net Cash Position: $691.0M
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Centrus Energy Corp.'s free cash flow?
Centrus Energy Corp. generated $-127.3M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $-55.0M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Centrus Energy Corp. pay a dividend?
Centrus Energy Corp. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Centrus Energy Corp. at risk of going bankrupt?
Centrus Energy Corp.'s Altman Z-Score is 2.63, placing it in the gray zone (1.8–3.0) — some financial uncertainty. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Centrus Energy Corp. have a durable competitive advantage?
Centrus Energy Corp. scores 3.1/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 2/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is LEU's return on equity (ROE)?
Centrus Energy Corp.'s return on equity is 8.1%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy LEU stock?
LEU shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol LEU
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is LEU a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Centrus Energy Corp. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Centrus Energy Corp.?
The current CEO of Centrus Energy Corp. is Mr. Amir V. Vexler.
What is LEU's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $1.90
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $3.75
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $3.44
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $3.75
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Aug 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
LEU analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings