American Water Works Company, Inc.(AWK) 종목 분석 — 적정가치·리스크·해자 평가
NYQ · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water
American Water Works Company, Inc.는 지금 안전한 투자처인가?
American Water Works Company, Inc. is in the Utilities sector — Altman Z-Score does not apply to this type of company. Our fair value estimate is $138.82 (Watch Zone).
Altman Z-Score가 American Water Works Company, Inc.에 적용되지 않는 이유
Altman Z-Score는 제조업 및 비금융 기업을 위해 설계된 모델입니다. 운전자본/총자산, 매출/총자산 등의 비율을 사용하지만, Utilities 섹터 기업에서는 잘못된 결과를 도출합니다.
- 은행은 대량의 자산(대출금)을 보유하여 총자산이 비대해지므로, WC/TA가 거의 0이 되어 거짓 위기 신호가 발생합니다
- 유틸리티(공익사업)는 규제상 높은 부채를 유지하도록 설계되어 있으며, 모델은 레버리지를 리스크로 오인합니다
- REITs는 영업현금흐름(FFO)을 사용하며 잉여현금흐름과 다릅니다 — 표준 현금흐름 분석은 적용할 수 없습니다
Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing companies and does not apply to banks, utilities, or REITs.
참고: Utilities 섹터 전용 재무 건전성 모델은 향후 업데이트에서 도입 예정입니다.
American Water Works Company, Inc.의 진정한 가치는 얼마인가?
산출 방법
| 입력값 | 수치 | 출처 |
|---|---|---|
| 애널리스트 컨센서스 목표주가 | $138.82 | 11명의 월가 애널리스트 |
| 애널리스트 목표주가 상한/하한 | $155.00 / $121.00 | 애널리스트 목표주가 범위 |
| 주가순자산비율(PBR) | 2.36x | 장부가치 대비 현재 시장 평가 |
| 자기자본이익률(ROE) | 10.5% | 자기자본 대비 수익성 |
출처: 실적 데이터는 SEC EDGAR 제출 서류, 시장 데이터는 Yahoo Finance. 최근 분기가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.
표준 해자 분석이 American Water Works Company, Inc.에 적용되지 않는 이유
당사의 표준 해자 모델은 ROIC 안정성, 매출총이익률 트렌드, 전환 비용을 사용하지만, 이러한 지표는 제품·서비스 기업을 위한 것입니다. Utilities 섹터 기업은 근본적으로 다른 차원에서 경쟁합니다.
- 은행 — 해자는 예금 비용 우위, 순이자마진 안정성, 수수료 수입 다양성에서 비롯
- 유틸리티 — 해자는 규제에 의한 독점과 투하자본에 대한 보장 수익률
- REITs — 해자는 부동산 포트폴리오의 품질, 입지, 임차인 구성, 캡레이트 우위에서 비롯
Standard moat analysis (ROIC/gross margin/switching costs) does not reliably apply to Utilities companies. Banks compete on net interest margin, utilities on regulated returns, and REITs on occupancy and cap rates.
참고: Utilities 섹터 전용 경쟁 분석은 향후 업데이트에서 도입 예정입니다.
American Water Works Company, Inc.의 배당은 안전한가?
American Water Works Company, Inc.는 현재 배당 수준을 유지할 수 있는가?
Payout ratio is 57.1%. FCF covers the dividend -2.8x. 19 consecutive years of payments.
American Water Works Company, Inc.의 주요 재무 지표
| 지표 | 최신 | 1년 전 | 3년 전 | 트렌드 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | −$1.2B | −$1.0B | −$1.3B | Rising |
AWK의 분석에 영향을 미치는 최근 이벤트
AWK 실적 발표 예정
실적 발표 예정. 컨센서스 EPS 예상치: $1.10. 매출 예상치: $1.12B. 당사의 현재 적정가치: $138.82 — 예상치를 크게 상회하거나 하회하면 추정치가 변동될 수 있습니다.
AWK 애널리스트 컨센서스: 15% 강세 (2/13명)
0 강력 매수, 2 매수, 10 중립, 0 매도, 1 강력 매도. 컨센서스 목표가: $138.82 (5.9% 상승 여력). 당사 독자 적정가치와 비교: $138.82.
AWK EPS 예상치 2.3% 하회
실제 EPS: $1.24 예상치 $1.27. 당사의 적정가치 $138.82 추세가 지속되면 하향 조정 압력이 가해질 수 있습니다.
AWK 주당 $0.8280 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: B. 배당성향: 57.1%.
AWK 주당 $0.8280 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: B. 배당성향: 57.1%.
AWK EPS 예상치 3.0% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.94 예상치 $1.88. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $138.82 (5.9% 현재 주가 대비 상회).
AWK 주당 $0.8280 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: B. 배당성향: 57.1%.
AWK EPS 예상치 2.6% 하회
실제 EPS: $1.48 예상치 $1.52. 당사의 적정가치 $138.82 추세가 지속되면 하향 조정 압력이 가해질 수 있습니다.
AWK 주당 $0.8280 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: B. 배당성향: 57.1%.
AWK EPS 예상치 0.9% 하회
실제 EPS: $1.05 예상치 $1.06. 당사의 적정가치 $138.82 추세가 지속되면 하향 조정 압력이 가해질 수 있습니다.
AWK EPS 예상치 9.2% 상회
실제 EPS: $1.22 예상치 $1.12. 양호한 실적으로 당사의 적정가치 $138.82 (5.9% 현재 주가 대비 상회).
AWK 주당 $0.7650 배당금 지급
배당 안전성 등급: B. 배당성향: 57.1%.
American Water Works Company, Inc.에 대한 자주 묻는 질문
What is American Water Works Company, Inc. stock price today?
American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) stock price is $131.13 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does American Water Works Company, Inc. do?
American Water Works Company, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides water and wastewater services in the United States. It offers water and wastewater services on military installations; and undertakes contracts with municipal customers, primarily to operate and manage water and wastewater facilities, as well as offers other related services. It also operates approximately 80 surface water treatment plants; 520 groundwater treatment plants; 170 wastewater treatment plants; 55,000 miles of transmission, distribution, and collection mains and pipes; 1,200 groundwater wells; 1,800 water and wastewater pumping stations; 1,100 treated water storage facilities; and 75 dams.
What is American Water Works Company, Inc. market cap?
American Water Works Company, Inc. has a market capitalization of $25.61B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Utilities sector.
What sector and industry is AWK in?
American Water Works Company, Inc. operates in the Utilities sector, specifically within the Utilities - Regulated Water industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol AWK.
Is AWK stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, American Water Works Company, Inc. trades 5.5% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $138.82
- Current Price: $131.13
- Valuation Zone: Watch Zone
What is AWK stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for American Water Works Company, Inc. is $138.82, implying upside of 5.9% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $155.00
- Analyst Low Target: $121.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is American Water Works Company, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for American Water Works Company, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 4.5%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 8.0%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 7.2%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 7.9%
What are American Water Works Company, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | −$1.2B | Rising |
What is AWK's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 23.1x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 19.9x
How volatile is AWK stock?
American Water Works Company, Inc. has a beta of 0.73, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does American Water Works Company, Inc. have?
American Water Works Company, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $153.0M
- Total Debt: $15.93B
- Net Cash Position: $-15.78B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is American Water Works Company, Inc.'s free cash flow?
American Water Works Company, Inc. generated $-2.34B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $2.06B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does American Water Works Company, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, American Water Works Company, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 2.5%
- Payout Ratio: 57.1%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 19
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -18.9%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: B
Is American Water Works Company, Inc. financially healthy?
The Altman Z-Score — the standard bankruptcy prediction model — is not applicable to Utilities companies like American Water Works Company, Inc.. The formula uses ratios designed for manufacturing firms that produce misleading results for banks, utilities, and REITs.
Does American Water Works Company, Inc. have a competitive moat?
Our standard moat model (based on ROIC, gross margins, and switching costs) does not apply to Utilities companies. These firms compete on fundamentally different dimensions such as regulatory advantages, deposit cost structures, or property portfolios.
What is AWK's return on equity (ROE)?
American Water Works Company, Inc.'s return on equity is 10.5%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy AWK stock?
AWK shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol AWK
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is AWK a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies American Water Works Company, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of American Water Works Company, Inc.?
The current CEO of American Water Works Company, Inc. is Mr. John C. Griffith.
What is AWK's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $5.69
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $6.58
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $6.09
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $6.58
FairValueLabs가 분석하는 기타 Utilities 기업
FairValueLabs 면책 조항
본 페이지의 모든 밸류에이션, 점수, 평가, 분류는 FairValueLabs 독자 밸류에이션 시스템으로 산출된 것입니다. 실제 시장 가치, 수익 보장 또는 전문적인 투자 조언을 의미하지 않습니다. 교육 및 리서치 목적의 분석 추정치입니다.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
최종 업데이트: 2026년 4월 22일. 데이터 소스: SEC EDGAR(재무제표), Yahoo Finance(시장 데이터, 애널리스트 컨센서스). 최근 분기 데이터가 반영되지 않았을 수 있습니다.